Conditionals in causal decision theory

John Cantwell

pp. 661-679

in: Johan van Benthem, Vincent F. Hendricks, John Symons (eds), Between logic and intuition, Synthese 190 (4), 2013.

Abstract

This paper explores the possibility that causal decision theory can be formulated in terms of probabilities of conditionals. It is argued that a generalized Stalnaker semantics in combination with an underlying branching time structure not only provides the basis for a plausible account of the semantics of indicative conditionals, but also that the resulting conditionals have properties that make them well-suited as a basis for formulating causal decision theory.